Monday, May 19, 2008

State of the cubs (5/12 - 5/18)

MAY 12TH - MAY 18TH
Monday, May 12th vs San Diego W 12-3
Wolf (L, 2-3), Zambrano (W, 6-1)
Tuesday, May 13th vs San Diego L 4-3
Estes (W, 1-0), Marquis (L, 1-3), (S, Hoffman 7)
Wednesday, May 14th vs San Diego W 8-5
Peavy (L, 4-3), Lilly (W, 4-4)
Thursday, May 15th vs San Diego W 4-0
Maddux (L, 3-4), Dempster (W, 5-1) Wood (S, 8)
Friday, May 16th vs Pittsburgh W 7-4
Gorzelanny (L, 3-4), Gallagher (W, 1-0), Wood (S, 9)
Saturday, May 17th vs Pittsburgh L 7-6
Marte (W, 3-0), Marmol (L, 1-1) Capps (S, 10)
Sunday, May 18th vs Pittsburgh W 4-3
Dumatrait (L, 1-2), Marquis (W, 2-3), Wood (S, 10)

Yes, the Cubs went 5-2 this week to complete an 8-2 homestand. And yes, the team is now 27-17 possessing the second best record in all of major league baseball, and YES, they're two games up on the rest of the NL Central and their seven games up on the Brewers who were supposed to be the only real competition in the division.

While all of that is certainly a big deal, the story of the week, is this guy:


That's right, no word wrap, he's that good.

In case you haven't been paying attention in the past week, Alfonso Soriano has posted the following:

16/31, 10 runs scored, 7 homers, 14 RBI.

The rest of the Cubs have been hitting league average this week and yet the team's run differential was a +16.

Monday morning's PECOTA projections give the Cubs a better than 68% chance of winning the division, and better than 9% chance of winning the wild card if they don't. Overall they have better than a 77% chance of making the playoffs, best of any team in the major leagues.

The Cubs have three games coming up against the Astros starting tonight, and three more against the Pirates this weekend. The middle of the Astros' lineup has been killing the ball lately and the 'Stros are 2.5 back of the Cubs in third place in the division.

Zambrano's meltdown on Saturday was unfortunate. He's scheduled to go on Friday against the Pirates at PNC. Getting him back into his proper mental state is going to be the most important task for the Cubs this week. Granted, you'd like to win 4 or 5 games and bury everyone in the division besides the Cardinals, but the truth is all of those teams, including St. Louis, will bury themselves. I don't think there's anything to worry about with Z, but I want to see him go out and throw a solid game this week.

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