Monday, May 26, 2008

State of the Cubs (5/19 - 5/25)

MAY 19TH - MAY 25TH
Monday, May 19th vs Houston W 7-2
Lilly (W, 5-4), Moehler (L, 1-1)
Tuesday, May 20th vs Houston L 4-2
Dempster (L, 5-2), Sampson (W, 3-3), (S, Valverde 13)
Wednesday, May 21st vs Houston L 5-3
Gallagher (L, 1-1), Chacon (W, 1-0) (S, Valverde 14)

Friday, May 23rd vs Pittsburgh W 12-3
Zambrano (W, 7-1), Duke (L, 2-3)
Saturday, May 24th vs Pittsburgh L 5-4 (14 Inn)
Wuertz (L, 0-1), Grabow (W, 4-1)
Sunday, May 25th vs Pittsburgh L 6-5 (11 Inn)
Leiber (L, 2-3), Marte (W, 4-0)

The Cubs went 2-4 on the road this week with two series that mirrored each other. Both began with promising blowout victories and ended with eminently frustrating back to back losses.

Despite the fact that Sunday's loss, coupled with the Cardinals victory over the Dodgers knocked the Cubs back to second in the division, Cubs fans shouldn't worry.

Looking at the Houston series, the Cubs lost games 2 and 3 because their offense failed to have more than one productive inning in each game. It's a fact that the Cubs are struggling to hit on the road, and bludgeoning teams at Wrigley, but for the most part, it seems to be a fluke. My buddies over at Another Cubs Blog took a look at the home and road BABIP splits. The Cubs hit a lot of line drives, and teams that do score lots of runs, it just so happens that less balls are falling in, and as the season goes on and the sample size gets bigger, the team will score more runs away from Wrigley.

Offense really wasn't a problem in the Pittsburgh series. What happened in that series happens to all teams throughout a season, you have a team beat twice, in one game your closer hits a guy then can't get out of the 9th, in the other your left fielder drops a ball in the sun. Both things happen, both things suck, both are things you should be frustrated about, but big picture they're not that big a deal, the Cubs should have two more wins right now, but this team is still going to win 87-93 games and probably win the division by 6 games.

...I'd just feel a lot better with a different closer.

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